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Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
大商所 玉米淀粉主力连续(DCE.CS)深度分析报告 | 空头回补下的偏多修复 | 2026-10-08
方向:偏多。核心逻辑在于当前价格处于20日通道下沿区域,技术面存在修复需求,叠加主力合约减仓上涨显示空头回补动能。基本面方面,库存虽处五年同期低位,但加工利润微薄制约供给弹性,宏观层面美元与美债收益率高位震荡对商品形成一定压制,但中国政策预期提供支撑。方向失效条件:若价格有效跌破2424.33(S1枢轴)且持仓继续大幅增加,则偏多逻辑破坏,转为震荡或偏空。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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