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Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
铁矿石(DCE.I)深度分析报告 | 空头回补下的偏空格局 | 2026-10-08
铁矿石(DCE.I)当前维持偏空格局。核心逻辑在于:宏观预期未改,需求端缺乏强劲支撑,且价格处于关键阻力位下方。技术面上,价格跌破枢轴支撑,短期动能偏弱。基本面方面,库存压力依然显著,供需宽松格局未变。资金流向显示空头回补后的减仓上涨难以持续,跨资产比价显示中国溢价虽高但难以为继。方向失效条件为:价格有效站稳707.33元/吨上方并伴随持仓大幅增加,或宏观政策超预期强力刺激需求。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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