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Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
原油(INE.SC)深度分析报告 | 偏多:库存回落与溢价支撑 | 2026-10-08
原油(INE.SC)短期方向偏多。核心逻辑在于:EIA 馏分油库存较五年同期大幅去化12.0%,炼厂开工率维持92.7%高位,叠加INE对Brent溢价8.14%的结构性支撑,显示中国需求韧性优于国际市场。技术面上,SC2611主力合约夜盘强势突破737.4结算位,站稳枢轴P 700.8上方,且20日通道下沿648提供坚实底部。尽管前20席位减仓4689手,但价格逆势走强,暗示空头回补主导行情。方向失效条件为日线收盘有效跌破700.8枢轴位或SC2611夜盘跌破715。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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