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データ基準日: 2026-10-07 · 決済基準: 取引所最終日次決済価格

Natural Gas (NG=F) Deep Dive | Bullish Breakout Targeting 3.395 | 2026-10-08

We maintain a bullish bias on Natural Gas (NG=F), targeting a move to 3.395 following a decisive technical breakout above key resistance. The primary driver is a confluence of technical momentum, with the instrument trading above its 20-day moving average and breaking through the pivot point at 3.1883, supported by a constructive supply-demand backdrop where inventory drawdowns are outpacing seasonal norms. While positioning remains net-short, the rapid compression of open interest and the aggressive shift in managed money flows suggest a potential short-covering rally is underway. The invalidation level for this thesis sits at a sustained break below the 3.0463 support zone, which would negate the immediate bullish structure. Seasonal tailwinds and a contango structure that is flattening further support the view that near-term fundamentals are aligning with technical strength, creating a high-probability setup for continued upside in the coming sessions.