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データ基準日: 2026-10-07 · 決済基準: 取引所最終日次決済価格

RSS3=F Deep Dive | Bullish Bias | 2026-10-08

We maintain a bullish call on RSS3=F, targeting a sustained move above the 453 settle with a measured target near 456. This conviction rests on three pillars: the commodity's resilient 20-day uptrend (+4.07%), a technical setup that has reclaimed the 20-day pivot at 453.13, and a supportive macro backdrop where gold volatility remains structurally low while implied volatility for energy sits at a modest 42nd percentile. The immediate invalidation level is a decisive break below the 450.13 support zone, which would signal a loss of short-term momentum. Current intraday pricing in Asia reflects early accumulation following the prior session's close at 453, suggesting continued buyer interest. The 20-day channel remains intact, with the upper band at 455.3 acting as the next logical resistance. While the weekly bar remains unfinished, the last completed week closed at 449, leaving the current week's price action well above the prior week's close, reinforcing the bullish bias. We advise traders to look for long setups on dips toward the 451.57 support level, with stops placed beyond the 450.13 zone to account for normal daily noise.