本报告来源： MacroTerms.com

数据截止: 2026-09-30 · 结算口径: 交易所最终日结算价

000001.SS Deep Dive | Bearish Bias on Weak Momentum | 2026-10-08

We maintain a bearish bias on 000001.SS, as the instrument trades below its 20-day moving average and within a weakening 5-day trend, with technical structure suggesting further downside risk toward the 3824 support zone. The primary drivers include a 5-day decline of 2.78% and a 20-day drop of 3.46%, indicating sustained selling pressure. Additionally, the current price action sits near the lower end of the 20-day channel, with the pivot point acting as a resistance level that has not been breached. The invalidation of this bearish call would require a decisive break above the 3860 resistance level, supported by a shift in positioning or a macro surprise. Until such a reversal occurs, the path of least resistance remains lower, targeting the S2 level at 3824.03. This assessment is based on settled data as of 2026-09-30, with intraday observations from Asia on 2026-10-08.