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Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
CZCE.RS深度分析报告 | 高位震荡,关注100%分位持仓风险 | 2026-10-08
当前菜籽主力合约(RS2701)处于高位震荡格局,方向判断为中性观望。核心逻辑在于:价格位于20日通道中上轨,但持仓量已达年度100%分位,市场情绪极度拥挤,短期缺乏明确驱动。技术面上,价格受制于枢轴R1阻力,且周线连续收阴。基本面方面,库存数据未显示显著去化,供需矛盾不突出。建议投资者在5400-5550区间内谨慎操作,等待方向选择。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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