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Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
郑商所 硅铁主力连续(CZCE.SF)深度分析报告 | 空头回补下偏多 | 2026-10-08
当前郑商所硅铁主力连续(CZCE.SF)方向判断为偏多。核心逻辑在于:截至2026年9月30日的结算价5982元/吨,在经历20日累计跌幅4.22%后,于国庆前最后一个交易日出现减仓上涨,主力名义持仓减少7.19亿元,显示空头回补主导行情。技术面上,价格位于20日通道下沿10%分位且站稳枢轴P 5982.67,ATR14为101.71,短期波动率收敛。基本面方面,库存虽处五年同期低位,但加工利润修复与仓单压力缓解构成支撑。方向失效条件为价格有效跌破5951.33(S1枢轴)或周线收盘低于5924。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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