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Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
大商所 棕榈油主力连续(DCE.P)深度分析报告|偏空 | 2026-10-08
当前大商所棕榈油主力连续(DCE.P)方向判断为偏空。核心驱动在于20日跌幅扩大至-6.95%,且价格已跌破20日通道下沿9508,技术面承压。基本面方面,国际市场FCPO同步走弱,叠加主力名义持仓减仓上涨显示空头回补动能衰竭。尽管季节性统计显示上涨概率较高,但当前价格位于20日通道7.4%分位,且周线级别已收阴,短期下行压力显著。方向失效条件为价格重新站稳9633(枢轴R1)并伴随持仓大幅增加。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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