This report is provided by MacroTerms.com
Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
上期所 丁二烯橡胶主力连续(SHFE.BR)深度分析报告 | 偏多,空头回补驱动突破 | 2026-10-08
方向明确偏多。核心逻辑在于:结算价16465元/吨站稳20日通道上轨,夜盘放量突破16500关键阻力,且主力持仓大幅减仓上涨,显示空头回补主导行情。技术面看,价格位于20日通道88.5%分位,ATR14显示波动率温和放大,枢轴R1 16396.67已被有效突破。基本面方面,近月合约M2611受库存去化与加工利润修复支撑,基差走强。资金流向显示前20席位净空单减少,隐含波动率未显著抬升,市场情绪偏向乐观。短期目标看至17000一线,但需警惕10月中旬宏观数据扰动。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
Today's Risk Map
Macro · Micro · Cross-assetVIP members unlock thresholds & transmission chains. Upgrade
Full brief is for VIP members
The body, key levels, charts and PDF are for active VIP members.
Single-name briefs Deep dive
Previous briefs
No earlier briefs for this contract yet.
⟠ This month's strategy backtest
Daily AI brief ideas settled day-by-day with objective stop/target matching
No settled signals yet - sample building up.
* Backtest settles each daily trade idea: stop/target whichever first, flat at close when window ends. Past performance does not predict future results.