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Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
SHFE.FU深度分析报告 | 空头回补驱动反弹,关注4500阻力 | 2026-10-08
当前燃料油(M2611)价格处于空头回补主导的反弹阶段,短期方向偏多。核心逻辑在于:一是主力合约名义持仓大幅减仓10.59亿元,显示空头主动平仓推动价格上涨;二是价格位于20日通道81.8%分位,技术面存在回踩需求但趋势未破;三是馏分油库存同比去化12.0%,基本面支撑有限但提供底部支撑。方向失效条件为价格有效跌破4322.33(S1枢轴)或周线收盘跌破4278。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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