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Data as of: 2026-10-08 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
白糖(CZCE.SR)深度分析报告 | 减仓反弹遇国际市场回落,偏多但空间受限 | 2026-10-09
白糖SR主力合约偏多,但反弹质量存疑。核心理由:一是10-08结算5486元/吨,单日+2.6%、5日+1.9%、20日+1.75%,价格位于20日通道82.9%高分位,技术面偏强;二是主力持仓548793手、单日减15484手,主力名义持仓日减8.48亿元,属减仓上涨(空头回补)而非多头主动增仓,反弹持续性需打折扣;三是ICE SB=F 10-08结算20.19美分/磅,单日-3.07%但5日+6.6%,国际市场隔夜回落对中国夜盘形成压制,10-08夜盘收5467元/吨、较结算-0.35%。方向失效条件:SR结算价有效跌破枢轴S1 5452元/吨,或ICE SB=F失守20日通道下沿18.02美分/磅,则偏多逻辑作废。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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