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Data as of: 2026-10-08 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
大商所 PVC主力连续(DCE.V)深度分析报告 | 增仓上涨遇20日通道中位,偏多但空间受限 | 2026-10-09
方向偏多,但定性为区间内偏多而非趋势突破。核心理由有三:一是10-08结算价4904较昨结上涨0.18%,5日累计上涨3.04%,且主力持仓增加13351手至1055915手,主力名义持仓日增3.28亿元至259.5亿元,属增仓上涨、多头主动增仓;二是10-08夜盘PVC收4940,较日盘收盘再涨0.51%、较结算涨0.73%,夜盘高点4962已逼近枢轴R1 4958.33,短线上行动能仍在;三是价格位于20日通道4673–5194的46.4%位置,尚未进入超买区,向上仍有空间。方向失效条件:若结算价有效跌破S1 4859.33并进一步逼近20日通道下沿4673,则多头逻辑作废,转为中性观望。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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