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Data as of: 2026-10-08 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
原油(INE.SC)深度分析报告 | 增仓上涨后夜盘回吐,偏多但需防高位反复 | 2026-10-09
方向结论:偏多。SC2611 于 [10-08结算] 收 758.5、结算 737.4,对昨结 +8.96%,5日 +10.23%、20日 +9.4%,主力持仓 27069 手(+2091),名义持仓日变 +15.86 亿元,属增仓上涨、多头主动;EIA 馏分油库存较五年同期均值 -12.0%、汽油 -6.3%,裂解价差 69.72 美元/桶,油金比 0.022 处 1Y 92.06% 分位,均指向需求端偏紧。但 10-08 夜盘收 732.8,较结算 -0.62%、较日盘收盘 -3.39%,且 20 日通道位置仅 38.1%,上方 783.27(R1)压力明确,追高风险大。方向失效条件:SC2611 结算跌破 716.87(S1)或 700 整数关口,或 OVX 快速回落至 40 下方且持仓同步缩减。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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