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データ基準日: 2026-10-08 · 決済基準: 取引所最終日次決済価格

000300.SS Deep Dive | Bearish Breakdown Below 20D Support | 2026-10-09

We hold a bearish call on 000300.SS, invalidated if price reclaims 4327.88 (Pivot P) on a settled basis. The instrument has broken below its 20-day low, signaling a shift from consolidation to downside momentum. Key drivers include a technical breach of the 20-day channel, elevated implied volatility in energy markets suggesting macro stress, and a copper-gold ratio at multi-year highs indicating weak industrial demand relative to safe-haven flows. While the 20-day channel offers initial support near 4289.79, the breakdown below 4323.57 opens the path toward the 4234.11 (S2) level. Risk management requires monitoring the Pivot P level, as a sustained close above it would negate the bearish thesis. The current setup favors short exposures with stops placed beyond the 20-day low, targeting a retest of the lower channel boundary.