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データ基準日: 2026-10-08 · 決済基準: 取引所最終日次決済価格

FEF=F Deep Dive | Break Below 91.25 Signals Bearish Bias | 2026-10-09

FEF=F carries a bearish bias following a decisive break below the 20-day low at 91.25, with the contract settling at 91 on October 8. This move erases recent gains and exposes the commodity to further downside pressure as technical support levels fail. The decline is supported by weakening momentum over the past five and twenty days, alongside a breakdown in key pivot levels. Invalidation of this view would require a sustained close above the 91.6 resistance zone. The current setup suggests that sellers are in control, with downside targets extending toward the lower end of the 20-day channel. Institutional positioning and cross-asset dynamics further reinforce the caution, though macro volatility remains elevated. Traders should monitor for a potential rebound into the 91.3–91.6 range before considering any short-term longs, but the primary bias remains to the downside until a clear reversal occurs.