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データ基準日: 2026-10-08 · 決済基準: 取引所最終日次決済価格

YM=F Deep Dive | Bullish on Macro Support & Technical Resilience | 2026-10-09

We maintain a bullish bias on YM=F (E-mini S&P 500 futures) as the index consolidates above key support levels while macro drivers, particularly the steepening of the US yield curve and resilient equity positioning, provide a tailwind for further upside. The current setup reflects a market that has digested recent volatility and is poised to test higher ranges, provided the 51,339 pivot holds. Our analysis is anchored in the prior session's final settlement of 51,509, which sits comfortably within the 20-day channel and above the immediate support zone. While the weekly bar remains unfinished, the structural backdrop favors longs, with the primary risk being a breach below the 51,079 support level. This report focuses on the first half of our deep dive, covering directional bias, technical structure, supply-demand dynamics, positioning, and cross-asset relative value.