This report is provided by MacroTerms.com
Data as of: 2026-10-08 · Settlement: Exchange final daily settlement
Cotton (CT=F) Deep Dive | Bullish Rebound on Oversold Bounce | 2026-10-09
We maintain a bullish bias on Cotton (CT=F) as the contract rebounds from oversold conditions near key support, with technical structure and positioning favoring a move toward the 20-day pivot. The recent 20-day decline of 9.33% has compressed the price into the lower quartile of its recent range, creating a high-probability mean-reversion setup. While the broader trend remains under pressure, the immediate technical landscape suggests a counter-trend rally is forming, targeting the 80.313 pivot and potentially higher if momentum sustains. Invalidation would require a decisive break below 79.123, which would signal further downside toward 77.05. This call is based on the confluence of oversold technicals, stabilizing positioning, and the lack of immediate fundamental catalysts to drive prices lower. Traders should monitor the 79.557 support level for confirmation of the bounce before scaling into long positions.
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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