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データ基準日: 2026-10-09 · 決済基準: 取引所最終日次決済価格

Soybeans (ZS=F) Deep Dive | Bullish Bias | 2026-10-10

We maintain a bullish bias on Soybeans (ZS=F) with a primary target of 1316.5, contingent on holding above 1287. The current setup reflects a technical reversion to the mean after a 20-day consolidation, supported by resilient crush margins and a constructive seasonal backdrop. Price action has stabilized near the 20-day pivot, suggesting that the recent dip was a liquidity grab rather than a trend reversal. While macro volatility remains elevated, the fundamental supply-demand balance favors higher prices as the market digests the current yield outlook. A sustained move above the 1304.25 resistance level would confirm the resumption of the upswing, targeting the 20-day upper channel at 1332.25. Invalidation occurs on a daily close below 1274.75, which would signal a failure of the current support structure and a potential return to the 1257.5 lower bound.