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📅 2026-10-10 · COMEX白銀 · 單品種深度報告

本報告來自 MacroTerms.com

數據截止: 2026-10-09 · 結算口徑: 交易所最終日結算價

Silver (SI=F) Deep Dive | Bullish Breakout Play | 2026-10-10

We initiate a bullish stance on Silver (SI=F) with a target above the 20-day high, driven by a technical breakout above key resistance, tightening COMEX inventories, and a structurally attractive gold/silver ratio. The primary invalidation is a daily close below the 20-day low of 58.73. Silver settled at 61.048 on October 9, marking a 2.73% daily gain and a 1.05% advance over five days, though the 20-day trend remains negative at -6.35%. The metal is testing the upper boundary of its 20-day range, supported by a 2.199 ATR and a 29.2% realized volatility. Supply-side data shows a 0.58% decline in COMEX registered stocks to 102.22 Moz, while ETF holdings have ticked up slightly. The gold/silver ratio sits at 69.07, in the 25th percentile over three years, suggesting silver is relatively strong compared to gold. This setup favors a long bias, with a move toward the 62.663 R2 level as the next logical target.

往期研報封存

2026-10-11:單品種Silver (SI=F) Deep Dive | LONG: Rebound Off 58.73 Low, Pivot P 60.653 Holds | 2026-10-11 查看 2026-10-09:單品種舊覆蓋策略Silver (SI=F) Deep Dive | Bullish Rebound on Oversold Technicals | 2026-10-09 查看 2026-10-08:單品種舊覆蓋策略Silver (SI=F) Deep Dive | Long on Oversold Bounce | 2026-10-08 查看 2026-10-07:單品種舊覆蓋策略Silver (SI=F) Deep Dive | 2026-10-07 — Base-building above 60, LONG into 63.1 | 2026-10-07 查看 2026-10-06:單品種舊覆蓋策略Silver (SI=F) Deep Dive | 2026-10-06 — Bearish: 20D Downtrend Intact, 61.45 Pivot Caps | 2026-10-06 查看 2026-10-05:單品種舊覆蓋策略Silver (SI=F) Deep Dive | 2026-10-05 — Bearish, 59.99 Floor Under Pressure | 2026-10-05 查看 2026-10-04:單品種舊覆蓋策略Silver (SI=F) Deep Dive | 2026-10-04 — Bearish Below 60.95, Sellers Control the Tape | 2026-10-04 查看 2026-10-03:單品種舊覆蓋策略Silver (SI=F) Deep Dive | 2026-10-03 — Bearish: 20-Day Channel Floor at Risk | 2026-10-03 查看 2026-10-02:單品種舊覆蓋策略Silver (SI=F) Deep Dive | 2026-10-02: Bearish, 60.26 Support Under Pressure | 2026-10-02 查看 2026-10-01:單品種舊覆蓋策略Silver (SI=F) Deep Dive | 2026-10-01 — Bearish: 20-Day Channel Floor at Risk | 2026-10-01 查看 2026-09-30:單品種舊覆蓋策略Silver (SI=F) Deep Dive | 2026-09-30 — Bearish, 20-Day Channel Floor at 61 Under Siege | 2026-09-30 查看 2026-09-29:單品種舊覆蓋策略Silver (SI=F) Deep Dive | 2026-09-29: Contango Widens as Selloff Deepens | 2026-09-29 查看 2026-09-28:單品種舊覆蓋策略Silver Deep Dive | Range-Bound, 64.24 Pivot in Focus | 2026-09-28 查看 2026-09-27:單品種舊覆蓋策略Silver (SI=F) Deep Dive | 2026-09-27 — Long the 62.75–63.89 Retest, Invalidation 62.75 | 2026-09-27 查看 2026-09-26:單品種舊覆蓋策略Silver (SI=F) Deep Dive | 2026-09-26: Range-Bound Amid Macro Crosscurrents | 2026-09-26 查看 2026-09-25:單品種舊覆蓋策略Silver (SI=F) Deep Dive | 2026-09-25: $63 Support Tested as Real Yields Bite | 2026-09-25 查看 2026-09-24:單品種舊覆蓋策略Silver (SI=F) Deep Dive | 2026-09-24 | Consolidation Amid Macro Crosscurrents | 2026-09-24 查看 2026-09-23:單品種舊覆蓋策略Silver (SI=F) Deep Dive | 2026-09-23: Rangebound, 66 Pivot in Focus | 2026-09-23 查看 2026-09-22:單品種舊覆蓋策略Silver (SI=F) Deep Dive | 2026-09-22: Consolidation After Rally, 65.8 Support in Focus | 2026-09-22 查看 2026-09-21:單品種舊覆蓋策略Silver (SI=F) Deep Dive | 2026-09-21: Rally Tests Pivot Resistance | 2026-09-21 查看

⟠ 本月策略回測表現

每日早報 AI 觀點逐日跟蹤結算 · 止損/目標客觀撮合

* 回測基於日報交易觀點逐日結算:止損/目標先到為準,窗口末按收盤平倉。過往表現不代表未來收益。