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データ基準日: 2026-10-09 · 決済基準: 取引所最終日次決済価格

Corn (ZC=F) Deep Dive | Bearish Bias | 2026-10-11

We maintain a bearish stance on Corn (ZC=F) following a decisive breakdown below key technical support. The contract settled at 479.75 on October 9, 2026, breaching the prior 20-day low of 495 and entering a bearish channel. This move is supported by weakening seasonal momentum, a contango structure that discourages physical holding, and a lack of bullish positioning in the CFTC data. The primary risk to this view is a sustained recovery above 495, which would invalidate the breakdown thesis. Current market dynamics suggest further downside pressure toward the 465 support level, with volatility remaining elevated as traders digest the recent sell-off. The path of least resistance remains lower, driven by fundamental oversupply concerns and technical weakness.