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Data as of: 2026-10-23 · Settlement: Exchange final daily settlement
黄金(GC=F)深度剖析 | 跌破20日低点看空 | 2026-10-24
黄金跌破此前20日低点4036.8,确认看空技术破位。收盘价4007.9,处于20日通道底部附近(进入通道5.8%),且价格已在测试20日低点,发出近期下行风险信号。失效条件为日线收盘高于4087.17。看空逻辑得到以下因素强化:动能减弱、COT拥挤度接近3年极端水平、金银比处于多年高位(表明白银表现更优)。基本面方面,COMEX注册库存持平,GLD持仓下降,SHFE仓单库存不变。跨资产快照显示,油金比处于1年高位,铜金比接近多年峰值,二者均暗示宏观增长担忧,从而压制避险需求。方向性判断为看空(BEARISH),失效条件为日线收盘高于4087.17。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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