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📅 2026-10-25 · 小麦 · 銘柄別深度レポート

本レポート提供元 MacroTerms.com

データ基準日: 2026-10-23 · 決済基準: 取引所最終日次決済価格

Wheat (ZW=F) Deep Dive | Bearish Bias on Weak Fundamentals and Positioning | 2026-10-25

Bearish. Wheat prices have broken below the 20-day support pivot and fund positioning remains net-short; invalidation if price reclaims 630 on sustained close. Three reasons: 1) price below 20D pivot and 52-week lower bound, 2) net-short COT crowding near multi-year extremes, 3) contango roll cost eroding long side. Supply-demand fundamentals show rising global inventories vs 5-year average and no near-term weather-driven supply shock. Cross-asset ratios confirm neutral-to-weak macro backdrop.

銘柄別深度レポート 深度分析

COMEX金GC=F 2026-10-25
Gold (GC=F) Deep Dive | Bearish — 20-Day Low Break, Managed-Money Exit Not Done | 2026-10-25
SHORTdaily-briefaligned
深掘り読む
COMEX銀SI=F 2026-10-25
Silver (SI=F) Deep Dive | Bearish — 20-Day Low Break, Trend-Following Exit Unfinished | 2026-10-25
SHORTdaily-briefaligned
深掘り読む
WTI原油CL=F 2026-10-25
WTI Crude (CL=F) Deep Dive | Bullish Breakout from 20-Day Range | 2026-10-25
LONGdaily-briefaligned
深掘り読む
COMEX銅HG=F 2026-10-25
Copper (HG=F) Deep Dive | Neutral: Range-Bound Within a Tightening 6.41–6.63 Band | 2026-10-25
NEUTRALdaily-briefneutral_context
深掘り読む
ブレント原油BZ=F 2026-10-25
Brent Crude (BZ=F) Deep Dive | Bullish breakout confirmed — backwardation and draws argue for 120.31 | 2026-10-25
LONGdaily-briefaligned
深掘り読む
天然ガスNG=F 2026-10-25
Natural Gas (NG=F) Deep Dive | Bearish — 20-Day Low Break, No Stabilization Signal | 2026-10-25
SHORTdaily-briefaligned
深掘り読む
トウモロコシZC=F 2026-10-25
Corn (ZC=F) Deep Dive | Bearish Bias | 2026-10-25
SHORTneutral_context
深掘り読む
大豆ZS=F 2026-10-25
Soybeans (ZS=F) Deep Dive | Bearish Bias | 2026-10-25
SHORTdaily-briefneutral_context
深掘り読む
小麦ZW=F 2026-10-25
Wheat (ZW=F) Deep Dive | Bearish Bias on Weak Fundamentals and Positioning | 2026-10-25
SHORTneutral_context
深掘り読む

過去のレポート

2026-10-24：銘柄別Wheat (ZW=F) Deep Dive | Bearish — Momentum Breakdown Targets 618.67 | 2026-10-24 見る 2026-10-23：銘柄別Wheat (ZW=F) Deep Dive | Bearish: CBOT December Wheat ZWZ26 Below All Pivots | 2026-10-23 見る 2026-10-22：銘柄別Wheat (ZW=F) Deep Dive | Bearish: 642.5 Break, 618.25 Next | 2026-10-22 見る 2026-10-21：銘柄別Wheat (ZW=F) Deep Dive | Bearish: 643.25 Settle Breaks 20D Low 654, S1 636.5 Next | 2026-10-21 見る 2026-10-20：銘柄別Wheat (ZW=F) Deep Dive | Bearish: 20-day low 656.25 broken, CBOT December ZWZ26 | 2026-10-20 見る 2026-10-19：銘柄別Wheat (ZW=F) Deep Dive | Short: 20-day low 661.5 broken, CBOT December ZWZ26 | 2026-10-19 見る 2026-10-18：銘柄別Wheat (ZW=F) Deep Dive | Bearish: 660.5 Settle Breaks 20D Low 661.5 | 2026-10-18 見る 2026-10-17：銘柄別Wheat (ZW=F) Deep Dive | Bearish: 660.5 settle breaks 20-day low 661.5 | 2026-10-17 見る 2026-10-16：銘柄別Wheat (ZW=F) Deep Dive | Bearish: 20D channel breakdown, sell rallies toward S2 658.92 | 2026-10-16 見る 2026-10-15：銘柄別Wheat (ZW=F) Deep Dive | Bearish: 20D -7.87%, S1 663 pivot defense fails | 2026-10-15 見る 2026-10-14：銘柄別Wheat (ZW=F) Deep Dive | Short: Bearish Momentum into 661.5 Support | 2026-10-14 見る 2026-10-13：銘柄別Wheat (ZW=F) Deep Dive | Short: 20D downtrend, sell rallies toward 656 | 2026-10-13 見る 2026-10-12：銘柄別Wheat (ZW=F) Deep Dive | Bearish drift toward the 20-day floor, 661.5 the line | 2026-10-12 見る 2026-10-11：銘柄別Wheat (ZW=F) Deep Dive | Bearish: 20D channel breakdown, sell rallies toward 647 | 2026-10-11 見る 2026-10-10：銘柄別Wheat (ZW=F) Deep Dive | Bearish on Curve Flip to Contango | 2026-10-10 見る 2026-10-09：銘柄別旧カバレッジWheat (ZW=F) Deep Dive | Bullish on Supply Tightness | 2026-10-09 見る 2026-10-08：銘柄別旧カバレッジWheat (ZW=F) Deep Dive | Bullish Rebound on Oversold Conditions | 2026-10-08 見る 2026-10-07：銘柄別旧カバレッジWheat (ZW=F) Deep Dive | 2026-10-07 — Rebound Off 670.75, Long Bias Into 715 | 2026-10-07 見る 2026-10-06：銘柄別旧カバレッジWheat (ZW=F) Deep Dive | 2026-10-06 — Long-side mean reversion from the 20-day base | 2026-10-06 見る 2026-10-05：銘柄別旧カバレッジWheat (ZW=F) Deep Dive | 2026-10-05 — Bearish, 670.75 Pivot Is the Line | 2026-10-05 見る

⟠ 今月の戦略バックテスト

日報AI取引アイデアを日次で客観精算 · ストップ/ターゲット自動判定

* バックテストは日報の取引アイデアを日次で精算：ストップ/ターゲットの先到を優先、期間末は終値で手仕舞い。過去の成績は将来を保証しません。