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データ基準日: 2026-10-27 · 決済基準: 取引所決済価格（北京時間15:00終値、前回決済比）

CZCE.RS(RS2701) In-Depth Analysis Report | Bearish: Basis Suppression and Position Decay | 2026-10-28

Direction: Bearish. Rapeseed RS2701 met resistance around the [10-27 settlement] 5477 level, with 5-day -1.41% and 20-day -1.92% confirming the mid-term downtrend; price sits at the lower 32.2% of the 20-day range 5385–5624. The technical bearish pattern is clear: daily candles closed lower consecutively, and RV20 13.2% exceeds the ATR14 1.68% intraday range, indicating volatility expansion accompanying the price decline. Fundamentally, the dominant position of 14432 lots fell -377 lots on the day, with positions continuing to decay and an absence of active buying. Direction invalidation condition: if the daily close breaks above 5513 (the next pivot R1), the bearish pattern reverses and one should shift to the sidelines.