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데이터 기준일: 2026-10-30 · 결제 기준: 거래소 결제가(베이징 시간 15:00 종가, 전일 결제 대비)

DCE.FB(FB2612) Deep Analysis Report | Bearish: Weak Oscillation After Increasing Position and Falling, Maintain Short Configuration Below 1228 | 2026-11-01

FB2612 Bearish. The core logic consists of three points: First, on price structure, [10-30 Settlement] 1222 is at the 30.6% position of the 20-day range 1194–1279, with 5-day and 20-day changes of -1.89% and -3.75% respectively, clearly trending downward; second, volume and open interest support the bearish side, with main position at 4702 hands, increasing by 4588 hands in a single day, typical of increasing position while falling, and the break below 1200 on the 10-28 long candle confirms the opening of downside space; third, volatility and pivot resonance, ATR14 is 12.89, RV20 as high as 15.2%, in a high volatility environment S1 1212.67 is less than half an ATR away from the current price, and downside support is weak. Direction invalidation condition: if the daily close breaks above 1228 (10-30 high) and holds above the next pivot R1 1227.67, the bearish structure is destroyed, turning to neutral observation.