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데이터 기준일: 2026-11-04 · 결제 기준: 거래소 결제가(베이징 시간 15:00 종가, 전일 결제 대비)

DCE.FB(FB2612) Deep Analysis Report | Bullish, Stabilizing and Rebounding at Lower Band | 2026-11-05

Direction: Bullish. FB2612 contract stabilized near 1230.5 as of [Settlement on 2026-11-04], up 3.22% over 5 days, with a sound rebound structure from the 20-day lower band of 1194. Main position increased by 103 lots compared to the previous session, indicating active long-side building. Although the previous closed weekly candle fell 1.89% to 1220, the first three trading days of this week were temporarily reported at 1235 (+1.23%), with the price re-breaching the pivot P of 1226.83. The core driver is valuation repair: after a 20-day decline of 3.14%, the price sits at the 51.6% position of the 20-day channel, marking a medium-low valuation range. Comparing implied volatility with actual volatility shows RV20 at 15.6%, indicating a mild volatility level. Condition for direction invalidation: if the daily close breaks below 1221.67 (pivot S1), the rebound structure is broken, turning to a neutral outlook.