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Data as of: 2026-10-08 · Settlement: Exchange final daily settlement

WTI Crude (CL=F) Deep Dive | Bullish Rebound on Tightness | 2026-10-09

We maintain a bullish call on WTI Crude (CL=F) with an invalidation if price breaks below the 20-day low of 86.86. The rally is underpinned by three core drivers: a structurally tight prompt market evidenced by backwardation, a significant drawdown in distillate inventories, and a technical setup that has reset to a key support zone. While the 5-day and 20-day trends remain negative, the recent 3.64% daily surge and the current price action near the pivot point suggest a potential reversal. We view the current intraday pullback as a buying opportunity, provided the market holds above the immediate support levels. The risk/reward favors the upside, targeting a retest of the 20-day resistance band, contingent on the continuation of the supply-side tightening signals.