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データ基準日: 2026-10-08 · 決済基準: 取引所最終日次決済価格

000001.SS Deep Dive | Bullish Rebound on Oversold Conditions | 2026-10-09

We initiate a bullish stance on 000001.SS, targeting a rebound toward the 20-day channel resistance near 3980.0 as technical oversold conditions converge with supportive macro positioning. The instrument has declined -3.17% over five days and -3.29% over twenty days, reaching the lower boundary of its 20-day channel at 3795.37, which historically acts as a mean-reversion support zone. Current volatility metrics suggest limited downside risk, with the 20-day realized volatility at 11.1% and implied volatility for related assets remaining subdued. While the broader macro environment remains uncertain, the technical setup favors a short-covering rally, particularly given the proximity to the 52-week low of 3741.11. Invalidation occurs if price closes below 3755.05, which would signal a breakdown into deeper correction territory. This call is based on the prior session settle of 3811.9 and intraday observations as of 2026-10-09.