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データ基準日: 2026-10-07 · 決済基準: 取引所最終日次決済価格

FCPO=F Deep Dive | Bearish on Palm Oil Weakness | 2026-10-08

Bearish. FCPO=F is trading below its 20-day moving average with momentum accelerating to the downside, driven by a structural oversupply backdrop and weakening technical support. The contract has fallen 9.12% over the past month, breaching key pivot levels and entering a zone where Asian session volatility may test further lows. While a short-term bounce toward the 4531 pivot is possible, the prevailing trend and fundamental pressures favor continued downside pressure. Investors should remain cautious, awaiting a confirmed reversal above 4590 before considering any long exposure. The current setup offers a high-probability short opportunity targeting the 4472 support level, with invalidation occurring if price sustains above 4590.