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データ基準日: 2026-10-07 · 決済基準: 取引所最終日次決済価格

FEF=F Deep Dive | Bullish on Oversold Rebound | 2026-10-08

We maintain a bullish bias on FEF=F, targeting a rebound from current oversold levels as technical support aligns with mean-reversion dynamics. The instrument has declined 7.32% over the past 20 days, pushing price toward the lower bound of its 20-day channel at 91.25, while the 5-day drop of 1.77% suggests short-term exhaustion. With the current Asia session trading at 91.75, a break above the immediate pivot at 91.85 could trigger a short-covering rally toward the 20-day mean near 95. Invalidation occurs if price sustains below 91.25, the 52-week low and channel floor. This setup offers a favorable risk-reward profile for a tactical long position, provided downside volatility does not spike further.