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Data as of: 2026-09-30 · Settlement: Exchange settlement (15:00 Beijing close, vs prior settlement)
上期所 热卷主力连续(SHFE.HC)深度分析报告|偏空 | 2026-10-08
本期策略方向明确偏空。核心逻辑在于:价格有效跌破20日通道下沿与枢轴S1支撑,且主力合约M2701在减仓背景下下跌,显示多头主动离场。基本面方面,库存去化速度放缓,加工利润持续承压,宏观层面美元走强压制大宗商品估值。技术面上,当前价格3242已低于关键支撑位3266,短期下行动能增强。方向失效条件为价格重新站稳3287(R1)上方,否则下方目标看向3200一线。
This brief is published in Chinese. The English translation is being prepared.
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